Macro bears square off with micro bulls at SALT
By Lawrence Delevingne
Mon May 14, 2012
Bass and Burbank warn of recession while Bader, Tananbaum and MBS investors push niche strategies.
LAS VEGAS – Macro hedge fund managers' gloomy forecasts about the world economy contrasted with rosy forecasts for niche credit, distressed and mortgage strategies at the 2012 SALT Conference in Las Vegas. John Burbank of $3.8 billion equity-focused Passport Capital reemphasized his bearish views on Western economies Thursday, predicting that the U.S. would join Europe in recession during the second half of 2012. "It's not a popularly believed thing, but I think it's happening," Burbank said, noting Passport was net short U.S. equities. "When the Western world and U.S. does that, you don't want to be in [emerging markets]," he added. Kyle Bass of $1.1 billion Hayman Capital Management repeated his longstanding Japan short thesis, comparing the country's unsustainable debt levels to a Ponzi scheme. "Madoff...
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